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E-M:/ Global Warming



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Enviro-Mich message from "Alex J. Sagady & Associates" <ajs@sagady.com>
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Given today's announcement by the Bush
Administration on Global Warming and
the importance of this issue to the Great
Lakes, I'm passing on this comment from
David Hawkins, Natural Resources Defense Council Attorney,
concerning the Bush announcement....

rom: David Hawkins <dhawkins@nrdc.org>
Subject: air-mail: Enron-style emissions accounting
Date: Thu, 14 Feb 2002 10:18:38 -0500
Message-ID: <0.700000609.992507819-1463792126-1013700358@topica.com>
Reply-To: dhawkins@nrdc.org

Apologies for cross-posts.

Contrary to some press accounts, the Bush climate plan will not slow US
global warming emissions growth AT ALL.

In the decade from 1990 to 2000, US ghg emissions increased by 14%.  If
Bush' intensity targets are met, emissions will continue to grow by 14%
over the next decade.

In the decade from 1990-2000, US ghg emission intensity decreased by
17.4% but total emissions increased by 14%.  GHG emissions in 1990 were
1678 million metric tonnes carbon equivalent (mmtce) and in the year
2000 they were 1906 mmtce (source: EIA Greenhouse Gas Inventory 2000).

Today's Bush plan calls for an intensity target of 151 metric tons per
million dollars of gdp by 2012; that is a 17.5% intensity reduction from
today's 183 metric ton figure (the same rate of intensity improvement
that BAU produced between 1990 and 2000).

Given the administration's forecasts of gdp growth, this will produce
another 14% increase in ghg emissions in the decade from 2002-2012.  So
stripped of its Enron-style accounting gimmicks, the Bush plan is an
announcement that the US intends to keep increasing ghg emissions at the
same rate it has in the past.



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Alex J. Sagady & Associates  http://my.voyager.net/~ajs/sagady.pdf

Environmental Enforcement, Technical Review, Public Policy and
Communications on Air, Water and Waste/Community Environmental Protection

PO Box 39,  East Lansing, MI  48826-0039
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