[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]


To Smartgrowth,

          The message below mine is  from an independent investment expert
and is worth reading as general interest. even for the financial  advice. He
summarizes well what I have heard from many sources. If you read his message
then you will understand the importance of mine.
                   My message
      Gas and oil shortgages will start soon  and will be totally
catastrophic within 30 years,  especially to the poor, elderly,  and to all
children. My health care has cost the government a bundle. They are not
going to be able to afford you. I am trying to make you understand that we
must start to reduce our complete dependence on cars and houses. Research on
thrifty living and alternate energy is our highest  moral obligation because
of our children.
      The best way to make a difference locally is with an energy saving and
producing apartment house project that I call an Ecomindium. This is the
only way people can live in comfort on 20% of present energy consumption. We
could easily have a comfortable society for another 200 years.
       Local environmentalists please support this project. Help me get this
idea into the University faculty because it is also important to
universities. With help it would be easy. The experimentation would of
course take place over several years. It would be a bonanza both in
supporting student projects and learning. It would also tend to bring
mechanically inventive people  into environmentalism. I am too old and sick,
have no verbal support,  and have insufficient funds to do this alone. I
believe that financing would be easy because Ecomindiums are a safer
investment than gold or silver.
       High on steroids in Ann Arbor, but more productive than with last
week's fevers,
                            Kermit Schlansker   PE
-- Original Message ----- ``
From: "p02r02k02" <prk@myrealbox.com>
To: <energyresources@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Monday, February 09, 2004 5:31 AM

by Joseph Dancy, LSGI Advisors, Inc.
Adjunct Professor, SMU School of Law
February 7, 2004

We were interviewed on our market outlook by several news
organizations last month after our analysis of the natural gas sector
was published on EnergyPulse.net and on Jim Puplava's Financial Sense

One journalist asked us what unexpected trends or events we might see
in the next two or three years - events that will surprise most
governmental and business leaders in the U.S. - and how they might
impact investors. The following is our reply:


      World crude oil prices could spike to $60 a barrel - or more
(versus $34 a barrel now) - as: (1) OPEC decides to set the price of
oil with a basket of currencies as the dollar continues to decline;
(2) China's oil imports increase 25% annually and it becomes the
number two oil importer after the U.S.; (3) serious questions or
disputes arise about successors to the current Saudi leadership; (4)
Venezuela oil production is interrupted due to political issues
relating to the current recall election; (5) Iraq production continues
to disappoint with violence and sabotage continuing; (6) Nigeria
production is periodically interrupted with strikes and other
violence; (7) production from Saudi Arabia's largest oil field peaks
and begins to decline, with massive expenditures needed to maintain
output; (8) numerous major energy companies reduce the engineering
estimates of  their proven oil and gas reserves as reported in their
SEC filings; and (9) terrorists target crude oil infrastructure - most
likely large ocean going crude oil tankers or pipelines.

      Natural gas prices in the U.S. and Canada could spike to over
$15 a thousand cubic feet (versus $5 now) as: (1) North American
production declines; (2) demand for natural gas from newly built
natural gas electrical generating units and from new residential units
increases sharply, surprising many; (3) Canada attempts to restrict
the sale of natural gas to the U.S. market to alleviate shortages of
cheap natural gas and to provide fuel for domestic heating purposes;
(4) several chemical and fertilizer companies in the U.S. that rely on
natural gas as a feedstock lay off hundreds or thousands of workers
and move these jobs and plants overseas - but the decline in demand
only has a marginal impact on natural gas prices; (5) local opposition
and legal challenges to liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports cause
permitting delays; and (6) governmental investigations focus on
alleged manipulation of the natural gas futures market by traders.

      The price of gold could exceed $600 an ounce (versus $400 now)
as the value of the dollar continues to decline against most of the
major world currencies, and: (1) the Federal Reserve sharply increases
interest rates in an attempt to stabilize the value of the falling
dollar; (2) a record number of individuals file for personal
bankruptcy in 2004 in the U.S. only to be exceeded by the rate in
2005; (3) more companies reduce pension benefits to retirees and
existing employees; (4) the government announces a massive bailout of
the agency overseeing the pension funds of failed companies much like
the bailout of the S&L's a decade earlier; (5) one or more major U.S.
airlines file for bankruptcy, in part due to higher fuel costs; (6)
world economic growth, except for China, slows to a crawl; (7) tuition
at public universities increase at a double digit rate;  and (8)
health care costs continue to rise at a double digit rates.

Individuals and investors in the energy, precious metals, security,
drugs and health care, military area of the high technology sector,
and commodity sector do very well. Many others do not. The divide
between the "haves" and "have-nots" in the U.S. will continue to grow.

 2004 Joseph Dancy
Editorial Archive

Contact Info
Joseph Dancy, Adjunct Professor
Oil & Gas Law, SMU School of Law
Advisor, LSGI Market Letter

smartgrowth-washtenaw:  Internet List and Forum for issues relating to
sprawl, smart growth, and preservation of the quality of life in Washtenaw

Postings to:  smartgrowth-washtenaw@great-lakes.net      For info, send
email to majordomo@great-lakes.net  with a one-line message body of  "info